Gambler's fallacy in the classroom?

Hubert Janos Kiss and Adrienn Selei ()
Additional contact information
Adrienn Selei: Regional Centre for Energy Policy Research

No 1342, CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS from Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies

Abstract: Does students' hand tremble after marking three consecutive identical answers in a multiple choice test? We design an experiment to study if the likelihood to change incorrectly to a different answer than the last one depends on the number of identical previous answers. We do not find a clear treatment effect, but observe that indeed the likelihood to change to an incorrect answer increases in the number of identical previous answers given by the student, even after controlling for how prepared (s)he was overall and how certain (s)he was that the answer to a given multiple choice question is correct. We claim that this behavior possibly is a reasonable reaction to previous exam experience.

Keywords: belief; experiment; gambler's fallacy; multiple choice (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C93 D03 D84 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 pages
Date: 2013-12
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://econ.core.hu/file/download/mtdp/MTDP1342.pdf (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to econ.core.hu:80 (A connection attempt failed because the connected party did not properly respond after a period of time, or established connection failed because connected host has failed to respond.)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:has:discpr:1342

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS from Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Nora Horvath ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).