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The HAMP NPV Model – Development and Early Performance

Steve Holden, Austin Kelly, Douglas McManus, Therese Scharlemann, Ryan Singer and John Worth
Additional contact information
Steve Holden: Fannie Mae
Douglas McManus: Freddie Mac
Therese Scharlemann: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Ryan Singer: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
John Worth: National Credit Union Administration

No 11-01, FHFA Staff Working Papers from Federal Housing Finance Agency

Abstract: The foreclosure crisis that began in 2008 triggered the need for new approaches to treat distressed mortgages. A key component of the Obama Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) was the development of a standardized Net Present Value (NPV) model to identify troubled loans that were value-enhancing candidates for payment-reducing modifications. This paper discusses the development of the HAMP NPV model, its purpose, and some important constraints that dictated its structure and limitations. We describe the structure and the estimation of the model in detail. Furthermore, we describe the responsiveness of the model to key characteristics, such as loan to value and credit score and provide new evidence on the relationship between HAMP modification performance and key borrower and modification characteristics. The paper concludes with a discussion of model limitations and suggestions for further refinement of the model.

Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2011-07
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https://www.fhfa.gov/document/wp1101.pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.fhfa.gov/research/papers/wp1101 (text/html)

Related works:
Journal Article: The HAMP NPV Model: Development and Early Performance (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: The HAMP NPV model: development and early performance (2011) Downloads
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