Is there a green paradox?

Michael Hoel ()

No 13/2010, Memorandum from Oslo University, Department of Economics

Abstract: A sufficiently rapidly rising carbon tax may increase near-term emissions compared with the case of no carbon tax. Even so, such a carbon tax path may reduce total costs related to climate change, since the tax may reduce total carbon extraction. A government cannot commit to a speci.c carbon tax rate in the distant future. For reasonable assumptions about expectation formation, a higher present carbon tax will reduce near-term carbon emissions. Moreover, whatever the expectations about future tax rates are, near-term emissions will decline for a sufficiently high carbon tax. However, if the near-term tax rate for some reason is set below its optimal level, increased concern for the climate may change taxes in a manner that increases near-term emissions.

Keywords: climate change; exhaustible resources; green paradox; carbon tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q31 Q38 Q41 Q48 Q54 Q58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2011-01-03
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Working Paper: Is there a Green Paradox? (2010)
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