Small-Area Variation of Fertility Rates

Jørgen Lauridsen

No 2017:4, DaCHE discussion papers from University of Southern Denmark, Dache - Danish Centre for Health Economics

Abstract: Alike most of the Western world, the Danish fertility rate declined throughout the 20th century simultaneous to economic growth. This development, which conflicts with economic intuition, has been denoted the fertility paradox, and several studies have been devoted to resolve it. The present study analyzes the geographic variation across Danish municipalities in the fertility rate during the years 1982 to 2004. Several factors commonly believed to explain the variation in the fertility rate is found to be exerted to considerable regional variation. A model linking the fertility rate to several economic determinants is established and further modified to capture geographic small-area variation. Specifically, a positive correlation between regional levels of income and fertility is found, which contradicts the fertility paradox. Thus, the necessity of separating small-area and dynamic variation, aiming at obtain a proper interpretation of the link between fertility and its determinants, is demonstrated.

Keywords: Spatial econometrics; Dempgraphy; Fertility; Regional population variation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 J13 N30 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 pages
Date: 2017-05-31
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sdu.dk/-/media/files/om_sdu/centre/cohe ... 017/2017_4.pdf?la=da (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to www.sdu.dk:80 (A connection attempt failed because the connected party did not properly respond after a period of time, or established connection failed because connected host has failed to respond.)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:sduhec:2017_004

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in DaCHE discussion papers from University of Southern Denmark, Dache - Danish Centre for Health Economics DaCHE - Danish Centre for Health Economics, Institut for Sundhedstjenesteforskning, Syddansk Universitet, J.B. Winsløws Vej 9B, 2. sal, DK-5000 Odense, Denmark. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christian Volmar Skovsgaard ().