Election Fraud and Post-Election Conflict: Evidence from the Philippines

Benjamin Crost, Joseph Felter (), Hani Mansour () and Daniel Rees
Additional contact information
Joseph Felter: Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University

No 158, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: Previous studies have documented a positive association between election fraud and the intensity of civil conflict. It is not clear, however, whether this association is causal or due to unobserved institutional and cultural factors. This paper examines the relationship between election fraud and post-election violence in the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections. Using the density test developed by McCrary (2008), we find evidence that incumbents were able to win tightly contested elections through fraud. In addition, we show that narrow incumbent victories were associated with an increase in post-election casualties, which is consistent with the hypothesis that election fraud causes conflict. We conduct several robustness tests and find no evidence that incumbent victories increased violence for reasons unrelated to fraud.

Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2013-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-dev and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://hicn.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/HiCN-WP-158.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Election Fraud and Post-Election Conflict: Evidence from the Philippines (2013)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hic:wpaper:158

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tilman Brück () and () and () and ().