Massive Civilian Displacement in Civil War: Assessing Variation in Colombia

Abbey Steele ()
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Abbey Steele: Yale University

No 29, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: The displacement of civilians is a frequent, yet understudied, outcome of armed groups� and civilians' behavior during civil wars. In particular, I find that displacement as a strategy of armed groups is an especially undeveloped area of study, and argue that a focus on mass displacements as the dependent variable can provide leverage for explaining variation in outcomes over time and across space. I suggest that three sets of factors explain the variation: armed groups� goals, competition among armed groups, and community governance mechanisms. After outlining the theory and hypotheses, I consider the implications of the approach for appropriate units of analysis. With data on displacement in the Colombian civil war, I use both events of massive displacement and municipal population flows as indicators of the dependent variable to consider the plausibility of the framework�s empirical implications. Finally, I propose additional qualitative, micro-level research strategies to enable tests of the mechanisms underlying the theory.

Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2007-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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