Do Fences Make Good Neighbors? Evidence from an Insurgency in India

Heidi Kaila (), Saurabh Singhal and Divya Tuteja
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Heidi Kaila: Cornell University

No 297, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: India has employed a variety of military, political and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural breaks in the time series for violence over the period 1998-2014. We identify a transition from a high violence regime to a low violence regime that coincides with (i) the fencing of the border with Pakistan (ii) the implementation of a large-scale development program, and (iii) the phasing in of the Indian National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREGS). Panel data analysis using district-level data further corroborate these findings. Our results highlight the complementary roles of development programs and security in reducing violence.

Keywords: Conflict; Multiple Structural Breaks; Nonlinear Time Series Models; Jammu and Kashmir; Fixed Effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 D74 F51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-03
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Related works:
Working Paper: Do Fences Make Good Neighbors? Evidence from an Insurgency in India (2018)
Working Paper: Do fences make good neighbours?: Evidence from an insurgency in India (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hic:wpaper:297

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