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Conflict Exposure and Economic Welfare in Nigeria

John Chiwuzulum Odozi () and Ruth Uwaifo Oyelere
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John Chiwuzulum Odozi: Research Fellow at the French Institute for Research in Africa, Institute of African Studies, University of Ibadan, Nigeria

No 313, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: Several papers have attempted to estimate and document the impact of conflict on several education, health and socioeconomic outcomes. One lesson from the past research is the heterogeneity in the effect of violent conflict across and within countries. In this paper we attempt to estimate the casual impact of conflict in Nigeria on welfare related outcomes. The 2009 insurgence of Boko Haram and the Fulani herdsmen versus farmers conflicts have led to a significant increase in violent conflict in the North Eastern and Central parts of Nigeria. However, bouts of violent conflict have existed in different communities across the country since independence. We estimate the average effect of violent conflict exposure on welfare, across Nigeria using the three waves of the Nigerian General Household Survey (GHS) panel combined with The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED). Employing a fixed effect approach, our results suggest that recent and long term exposure to conflict increased the incidence, intensity and severity of poverty in Nigeria. In addition we find that exposure to violent conflict also decreased household income.

Keywords: Violence; Nigeria; Conflict; Boko Haram; Economic Welfare; Poverty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 I10 I30 O1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-08
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Conflict Exposure and Economic Welfare in Nigeria (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Conflict Exposure and Economic Welfare in Nigeria (2019) Downloads
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