The Identification of Weak Signals and Wild Cards in Foresight Methodology: Stages and Methods

Julia Ponomareva () and Anna Sokolova ()
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Julia Ponomareva: National Research University Higher School of Economics

HSE Working papers from National Research University Higher School of Economics

Abstract: This research explores the key stages and methods for the identification of weak signals (WS) and wild cards (WC) in foresight methodology. Theoretical approaches and practical projects in this field were studied, key characteristics and features of these concepts were identified. A review of potential data sources for the monitoring of WS and WC were also provided. The key groups of methods were formed including scanning and monitoring; data analysis; modelling, clustering, interpretation; expert procedures. The stages for identification of WS are proposed. A case study devoted to WS for the analysis of technology development of bioprinting is considered.

Keywords: weak signals; wild cards; bioprinting; foresight; scanning; analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O31 O32 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published in WP BRP Series: Science, Technology and Innovation / STI, September 2015, pages 1-26

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hig:wpaper:46sti2015

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