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Determinants of Regional Fertility in Russia: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis

Ichiro Iwasaki () and Kazuhiro Kumo

No 2019-6, CEI Working Paper Series from Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to empirically examine the regional determinants of fertility rate in Russia using panel data for the period of 2005–2015. The estimation results of a system GMM dynamic model revealed that economic growth, employment opportunity, favorable local business conditions, educational opportunity, quality of social infrastructure, and housing supply serve to increase the fertility rate in Russian regions, while the presence of a Slavic population, migration inflow, poverty and ecological risks tend to suppress it. Furthermore, we found that combinations of factors that strongly affect the reproductive behavior of Russian women vary greatly among age groups and regions. To mitigate the declining trend of fertility in Russia, it is necessary to implement policies that take generational differences and regional heterogeneity into serious consideration.

Keywords: total fertility rate; age-specific fertility rate; dynamic panel data analysis; Russian regions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 J11 J13 P25 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20, [19] p.
Date: 2019-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-tra and nep-ure
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http://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/rs/bitstream/10086/30757/1/wp2019-6.pdf

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Journal Article: Determinants of regional fertility in Russia: a dynamic panel data analysis (2020) Downloads
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