Child-Related Transfers, Household Labor Supply and Welfare
Nezih Guner (),
Remzi Kaygusuz () and
Gustavo Ventura ()
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Gustavo Ventura: Arizona State University
No 2017-001, Working Papers from Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group
What are the macroeconomic and welfare effects of expanding transfers to households with children in the United States? How do childcare subsidies compare to alternative policies? We answer these questions in a life-cycle equilibrium model with household labor-supply decisions, skill losses of females associated to non participation, and heterogeneity in terms of fertility, childcare expenditures and access to informal care. We consider the expansion of transfers that are contingent on market work - childcare subsidies and Child and Dependent Care Tax Credits (CDCTC) - versus those that are not - Child Tax Credits (CTC). We find that expansions of transfers of the first group have substantial positive effects on female labor supply, that are largest at the bottom of the skill distribution. Universal childcare subsidies at a 75% rate lead to long-run increases in the participation of married females of 8.8%, while an equivalent expansion of the CTC program leads to the opposite - a reduction of about 2.4%. We find that welfare gains of newborn households are substantial and up to 2.3% under the CDCTC expansion. The expansion of none of the existing programs, however, receives majority support at the time of its implementation. Our findings show substantial heterogeneity in welfare effects, with a small fraction of households - young and poorer households with children - who gain significantly while many others lose.
Keywords: household labor supply; child-related transfers; childcare (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 H24 H31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-lab, nep-mac and nep-pbe
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http://humcap.uchicago.edu/RePEc/hka/wpaper/Guner_ ... elated-transfers.pdf First version, 2017 (application/pdf)
Working Paper: Child-Related Transfers, Household Labor Supply and Welfare (2017)
Working Paper: Child-Related Transfers, Household Labor Supply and Welfare (2016)
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