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Boomerang College Kids: Unemployment, Job Mismatch and Coresidence

Stefania Albanesi (), Rania Gihleb () and Ning Zhang ()
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Stefania Albanesi: University of Pittsburgh
Rania Gihleb: University of Pittsburgh, IZA
Ning Zhang: University of Oxford

No 2022-038, Working Papers from Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group

Abstract: Labor market outcomes for young college graduates have deteriorated substantially in the last twenty five years, and more of them are residing with their parents. The unemployment rate at 23-27 years old for the 1996 college graduation cohort was 9%, whereas it rose to 12% for the 2013 graduation cohort. While only 25% of the 1996 cohort lived with their parents, 31% for the 2013 cohort chose this option. Our hypothesis is that the declining availability of ‘matched jobs’ that require a college degree is a key factor behind these developments. Using a structurally estimated model of child-parent decisions, in which coresidence improves college graduates’ quality of job matches, we find that lower matched job arrival rates explain two thirds of the rise in unemployment and coresidence between the 2013 and 1996 graduation cohorts. Rising wage dispersion is also important for the increase in unemployment, while declining parental income, rising student loan balances and higher rental costs only play a marginal role.

Keywords: labor market outcomes; college attainment; educational attainment; household behavior (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D13 E24 I23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-lab
Note: FI
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http://humcap.uchicago.edu/RePEc/hka/wpaper/Albane ... ang-college-kids.pdf First version, September 5, 2022 (application/pdf)

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