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Financial Crash, Commodity Prices, and Global Imbalances

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Emmanuel Farhi and Ricardo Caballero ()

Scholarly Articles from Harvard University Department of Economics

Abstract: The current financial crisis has its origins in global asset scarcity, which led to large capital flows toward the United States and to the creation of asset bubbles that eventually burst. In its first phase the crash exacerbated the shortage of assets in the world economy, which triggered a partial re-creation of the bubble in commodities markets, and oil markets in particular. This bubble in turn led to an increase in petrodollars seeking financial assets in the United States, which became a source of stability for the U.S. external balance. The second phase of the crisis is more conventional and began to emerge in the summer of 2008, when it became apparent that the financial crisis would permeate the real economy and sharply slow global growth. This slowdown worked to reverse the tight commodity market conditions required for a bubble to develop, ultimately destroying the commodity bubble.

Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (186)

Published in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

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Working Paper: Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances (2008) Downloads
Working Paper: Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances (2008) Downloads
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