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Why is One Choice Different?

David Assaf and Ester Samuel-Cahn

Discussion Paper Series from The Federmann Center for the Study of Rationality, the Hebrew University, Jerusalem

Abstract: Let X_i be nonnegative independent random variables with finite expectations and X^*_n = max {X_1, ..., X_n}. The value EX^*_n is what can be obtained by a ``prophet". A ``mortal" on the other hand, may use k >= 1 stopping rules t_1, ..., t_k yielding a return E[max_{i=1, ..., k} X_{t_i}]. For n >= k the optimal return is V^n_k(X_1, ..., X_n) = sup E[max_{i=1, ..., k} X_t_i}] where the supremum is over all stopping rules which stop by time n. The well known ``prophet inequality" states that for all such X_i's and one choice EX^*_n

Keywords: optimal stopping rules; ratio prophet inequalities; multiple stopping options Classification-MSC-2000: 60G40; 60E15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 8 pages
Date: 2003-09
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Published in Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 2005, vol. 130, pp. 127-132.

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