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The role of unemployment and job change when estimating the returns to migration

Julian Emmler and Bernd Fitzenberger ()
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Julian Emmler: Humboldt Univ. Berlin
Bernd Fitzenberger: Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany ; FAU ; IFS ; CESifo ; IZA ; ROA

No 202037, IAB-Discussion Paper from Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany]

Abstract: "Estimating the returns to migration from East to West Germany, we focus on pre-migration employment dynamics, earnings uncertainty, and job change. Migrants are found to be negatively selected with respect to labor market outcomes, with a large drop in earnings and employment during the last few months before migration. We find sizeable positive earnings and employment gains of migration both in comparison to staying or job change. The gains vary considerably with pre-migration earnings and with the counterfactual considered. Future migrants have worse expectations for their labor market prospects in the East and migrants show a greater openness to mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Keywords: Bundesrepublik Deutschland; Ostdeutschland; Westdeutschland; Binnenwanderung; Einkommenseffekte; Entscheidungskriterium; Erwartung; IAB-Biografiedaten; Migrationsforschung; Migrationstheorie; Mobilitätsbereitschaft; Arbeitslosigkeit; Arbeitsmarktchancen; Arbeitsmarktrisiko; Wanderung; Arbeitsplatzwechsel; 1994-2004 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J61 O15 P25 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 61 pages
Date: 2020-12-16
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-lab
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed

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