Frühindikator für Arbeitslosigkeit und Beschäftigung: IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer 2.0 (Leading indicator for unemployment and employment in Germany: IAB labour market barometer 2.0)

Christian Hutter, Enzo Weber, Katrin Schmidt and Silke Delfs
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Christian Hutter: Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany
Katrin Schmidt: BA
Silke Delfs: BA

No 201609, IAB-Kurzbericht from Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany]

Abstract: "Besides unemployment, employment is equally important for the labour market. Especially during the previous years, in Germany both variables performed rather differently, with employment experiencing a much stronger development than unemployment. The IAB labour market barometer that has been signalling the development of seasonally adjusted unemployment in the short term so far, is now upgraded to a more comprehensive leading indicator for the German labour market: From now on, it comprises - together with an outlook on unemployment (component A) - also an outlook on employment (component B). The IAB labour market barometer itself is calculated as the average of the partial indicators. This Brief Report shows how the new component B is constructed and how it performs in terms of forecast accuracy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Keywords: Bundesrepublik Deutschland; Beschäftigungsentwicklung; Expertenbefragung; Indikatoren; Arbeitslosigkeitsentwicklung; Prognostik; IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 6 pages
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iab:iabkbe:201609

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