Options for achieving the forest related goals of Bolivia’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs): Results from the UCISS-Bolivia model

Lykke Andersen, Fabiana Argandoña, Diego Leonel Calderón Acebey (), Sergio Choque () and Alvaro Muñoz ()
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Diego Leonel Calderón Acebey: SDSN Bolivia
Sergio Choque: SDSN Bolivia
Alvaro Muñoz: SDSN Bolivia

No 03-24, SDSN Bolivia from Universidad Privada Boliviana

Abstract: This paper presents the Updated Conservation Incentives Spreadsheet for Bolivia (UCISS-Bolivia) tool and uses it to analyze the options and trade-offs involved in achieving the forest related goals of Bolivia’s NDCs. UCISS-Bolivia is an Excel-based tool for analyzing the potential effects of different incentives to reduce deforestation. It is based on a spatial econometric model of deforestation in Bolivia during the period 2016-2021, and uses information on forest cover, deforestation rates, geographical conditions, and drivers of deforestation, including agricultural opportunity costs, for more than 120,000 pixels covering the whole country. The model can help answer questions such as: Where in Bolivia does it make most sense to reduce deforestation? What kind of incentives are most effective at reducing deforestation? How much money will it take to reduce deforestation by a given amount? This kind of simulations are helpful for designing the key elements of a Joint Mitigation and Adaptation Mechanism for the Integral and Sustainable Management of Forests.

Keywords: Nationally Determined Contributions; deforestation; conservation; incentives; Bolivia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q21 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2024-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iad:sdsnwp:0324

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