EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Selectivity versus Reach:Flattening the Curve of Covid 19 for Joint Health and Economic Prosperity

Jacques Bughin

No 2020-034, iCite Working Papers from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: We calibrate a SEIR contagion framework, with an extended transmission rate, Rt that account for two different classes of infections, and for the effect of both risk perception on citizen behaviors as well as government actions on Belgium date. We demonstrate that curbing the Covid 19 pandemic and g enough hospital care capacity structurally with untargeted social distancing is challenging, requiring to sustain at least a recurrent cut on 50% of contagious contacts on top of creating unknown economic risks. With sufficient specificity (>70%) of economy. In practice, however, testing the full population is not possible, and would need to randomized requiring for safety a mix of testing and tracing, together with some other measures, like protection of more susceptible population either by nature (elderly), or by economic necessity (e.g. front lines workers).

Keywords: sante; éducation; bien-être (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 p.
Date: 2020-04
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Published by:

Downloads: (external link)
https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/3051 ... GHIN-selectivity.pdf Œuvre complète ou partie de l'œuvre (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ict:wpaper:2013/305155

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://hdl.handle.ne ... lb.ac.be:2013/305155

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in iCite Working Papers from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Benoit Pauwels ().

 
Page updated 2020-09-19
Handle: RePEc:ict:wpaper:2013/305155