Covid-19 Endemism and the Control Skeptics

Jacques Bughin, Michele Cincera, Dorota Reykowska, Marcin Zyszkiewicz and Rafal Ohme

No 2021-044, Working Papers TIMES² from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: This paper analyses the widespread difference in Covid-19 vaccination and Non-Pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) acceptance by the European population and finds that this difference can be clustered in nine archetype clusters. Calibrating a SIR model with control acceptance on Covid-19 pandemics, it is also estimated that three anti-control segments (standing in aggregate for 15% of the population) may be contributing to the entire bulk of the endemism of the Covid-19. While poorly compliant segments have lower risk perception than others, tend to be younger, and less educated, or are more self-centric, trust with respect to media, governmental, and healthcare institutions are significantly shaping control acceptance by the population. In particular, the way to overturn a large set of vaccination “hesitant” (20% of the population), must pass by rebuilding much higher trust in how the current crisis is managed by the government and healthcare system

Keywords: Covid-19; Pandemic Endemism; vaccine strategy; Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions; SIR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37 p.
Date: 2021-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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