Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective

Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi

No 4085, IDB Publications (Working Papers) from Inter-American Development Bank

Abstract: This paper investigates the international spillovers of housing demand shocks on real economic activity. The global economy is modeled using a Global VAR, with a novel house price data set for both advanced and emerging economies. The impulse responses to an identified US housing demand shock confirm the existence of strong international spillovers to advanced economies. In contrast, the response of some major emerging economies is not significantly different from zero. The paper also shows that synchronized housing demand shocks in advanced economies reinforce each other and have a deep and long-lasting impact on economic activity.

Keywords: Housing Cycles; GVAR; Identification of shocks; Emerging Markets; Boom and Bust Cycles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E44 F44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-10
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Housing cycles and macroeconomic fluctuations: A global perspective (2013)
Working Paper: Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective (2012)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:idb:brikps:4085

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