Politics Under the Weather: Droughts, Parties and Electoral Outcomes

Sebastian Miller and Paulo Bastos

No 4663, IDB Publications (Working Papers) from Inter-American Development Bank

Abstract: The increased occurrence of extreme weather conditions leading to drought is a key development challenge. This paper studies how these extreme events interact with the political process at the local level using rich administrative data for drought declarations and mayoral elections in Brazil. While accounting for current and historical rainfall patterns, the paper finds that that: i) municipalities led by a mayor affiliated with the President¿s party are more likely to receive formal drought declarations prior to the municipal election; and ii) receiving a drought declaration reinforces the electoral advantage of incumbent mayors running for reelection. These results are robust to the inclusion of a rich set of controls for municipal attributes.

Keywords: IDB-WP-455 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Politics under the Weather: Droughts, Parties and Electoral Outcomes (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:idb:brikps:4663

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