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Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects and Financial Integration

Guillermo Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo and Luis Fernando Mejía

No 4581, Research Department Publications from Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department

Abstract: Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods relative to their domestic absorption?a proxy for potential changes in the real exchange rate?and large foreign-exchange denominated debts towards the domestic banking system are claimed to be key determinants of the probability of 3S, producing a balancesheet effect with non-linear impacts on the probability of 3S. While financial integration is up to a point associated with a higher likelihood of 3S, beyond that point financial integration is associated with a lower likelihood of 3S.

Date: 2008-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev and nep-opm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (205)

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Working Paper: Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects and Financial Integration (2008) Downloads
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