STRATEGI HILIRISASI KOMODITAS PERTANIAN DAN PERIKANAN PRIORITAS UNTUK MENDUKUNG SWASEMBADA PANGAN DAN PENGUATAN AGROINDUSTRI

Andree Breitner M., Mha Ridhwan, Meily Ika Permata, Dina Tania T., Oki Hermansyah, Ilham Farizi Indrayadi, Shelly L. Silahali, Illinia Ayudhia Riyadi and Savira Yulita
Additional contact information
Mha Ridhwan: Bank Indonesia
Meily Ika Permata: Bank Indonesia
Dina Tania T.: Bank Indonesia
Oki Hermansyah: Bank Indonesia
Ilham Farizi Indrayadi: Bank Indonesia
Shelly L. Silahali: Bank Indonesia
Illinia Ayudhia Riyadi: Bank Indonesia
Savira Yulita: Bank Indonesia

No WP/04/2025, Working Papers from Bank Indonesia

Abstract: Downstreaming has become one of Indonesia’s most strategic avenues for lifting the value of its agricultural sector, yet evidence on its real impacts and constraints remains limited. This study evaluates the downstreaming performance of key commodity sectors, measures its effects on economic outcomes, identifies binding constraints, and formulates policy strategies to accelerate downstream development. Using a mixed-method approach, the analysis integrates quantitative techniques based on BPS, UN Comtrade, and IBS data with qualitative insights from focus group discussions and field surveys conducted in major production centers. The quantitative component includes RSCA&TBI analysis, trade trend analysis, spatial productivity assessments, panel regressions to estimate the impacts of downstreaming on exports, revenues, productivity, and input imports, and a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to capture macroeconomic and regional effects. The CGE simulations show that productivity gains in fisheries, maize, and salt increase real GDP, real wages, investment, and export competitiveness, with stronger impacts in core producing provinces. The qualitative findings reveal persistent bottlenecks in production factors, institutional coordination, infrastructure, financing access, and market linkage. Based on this diagnosis, the study develops commodity-specific business model recommendations to strengthen downstreaming pathways. Overall, the results provide a comprehensive foundation for designing more effective downstreaming strategies that enhance competitiveness, improve food security, and promote more inclusive regional economic growth in Indonesia.

Keywords: Agricultural Downstreaming; Fisheries; Maize; Salt; Productivity; Food Security; Downstreaming Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2025
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