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Tying Your Enemy’s Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil

Fernanda Brollo () and Tommaso Nannicini ()

No 358, Working Papers from IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University

Abstract: This paper uses a quasi-experimental strategy to disclose utterly political reasons behind the allocation of intergovernmental transfers in a federal state. We apply a regression discontinuity design in close elections to identify the effect of political alignment on federal transfers to municipal governments in Brazil. We find that municipalities where the mayor is affiliated with the coalition of the Brazilian President receive larger (discretionary) infrastructure transfers by about 40% in preelection years. This effect is mainly driven by the fact that the federal government penalizes municipalities run by mayors from the opposition coalition who won by a narrow margin, thereby tying their hands for the next election.

Date: 2010
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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Journal Article: Tying Your Enemy's Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Tying Your Enemy’s Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil (2011) Downloads
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