General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations

Antonio Mele

No 153, Economics Series from Institute for Advanced Studies

Abstract: Which pricing kernel restrictions are needed to make low dimensional Markov models consistent with given sets of predictions on aggregate stock-market fluctuations? This paper develops theoretical test conditions addressing this and related reverse engineering issues arising within a fairly general class of long-lived asset pricing models. These conditions solely affect the first primitives of the economy (probabilistic descriptions of the world, information structures, and preferences). They thus remove some of the arbitrariness related to the specification of theoretical models involving unobserved variables, state-dependent preferences, and incomplete markets.

Keywords: Pricing kernel restrictions; Convexity; Equilibrium volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D91 E44 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 50 pages
Date: 2004-03
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https://irihs.ihs.ac.at/id/eprint/1556 First version, 2004 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations (2004)
Working Paper: General properties of rational stock-market fluctuations (2004)
Working Paper: General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations (2004)
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