The Strategic Importance of US-Korea Economic Relations

Marcus Noland

No PB03-06, Policy Briefs from Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract: Despite the passage of 50 years since an armistice ended military hostilities, the Korean peninsula remains divided, a Cold War vestige that seemingly has been unaf-fected by the evolution that has occurred elsewhere. If anything, US confrontation with North Korea--a charter member of its "axis of evil"--has intensified in recent years. Yet today, increasing numbers of South Koreans, accustomed to living for decades in the shadows of the North's forward-deployed artillery, do not regard the North as a serious threat. Growing prosperity and confidence in the South, in marked contrast to the North's isolation and penury, have transformed fear and loathing into pity and forbearance. Instead, it is the United States, an ocean away, that regards the North and its nuclear weapons program with alarm. As the United States has focused on the nuclear program, its ally, South Korea, has observed the North Koreans' nascent economic reforms and heard their talk of conventional forces reduction, and the gap in the two coun-tries' respective assessments of the North Korean threat has widened dangerously, threatening to undermine their alliance.

Date: 2003-05
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