Productivity in Emerging-Market Economies: Slowdown or Stagnation?

Jose De Gregorio

No WP18-12, Working Paper Series from Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract: This paper analyzes productivity growth trends in emerging-market economies vis-à-vis advanced economies, both in the recent global productivity slowdown and from a long-term perspective. While income has converged in most countries in the last three decades, total factor productivity has diverged. Periods of high productivity growth coincide with episodes of output accelerations, while during normal times productivity growth is modest. Most recently, the correlation between productivity growth in emerging markets and advanced economies has increased. This paper analyzes potential factors explaining this increase, which presumably is due to the slowdown in trade and microeconomic factors that underlie technology diffusion. It concludes with a discussion of long-term challenges and opportunities facing emerging-market economies in a low productivity environment.

Keywords: Productivity growth; Emerging markets; Income convergence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O40 O47 O57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Productivity in Emerging Market Economies: Slowdown or Stagnation? (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iie:wpaper:wp18-12

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