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To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset by Exchange Rates?

Olivier Jeanne

No WP20-1, Working Paper Series from Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract: In theory, tariffs are partially offset by a currency appreciation in the tariff imposing country or by a depreciation in the country on which the tariff is imposed. Based on a calibrated model, this paper finds that US tariffs imposed in 2018 should not have had a large impact on the dollar but may have significantly depreciated the renminbi. This prediction is consistent with a high-frequency event analysis looking at the impact of tariff-related news on the dollar and the renminbi. Tariff-related news explains about one-third of the renminbi depreciation observed in 2018.

Keywords: Tariffs; Exchange Rates; Dollar; Renminbi (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Working Paper: To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates? (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates? (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: To what extent are tariffs offset by exchange rates? (2012) Downloads
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