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Republic of Belarus: Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund

No 2006/315, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The analysis of inflation developments in Belarus is hampered by widespread price controls. Persistence of common inflation is generally higher than that of actual inflation. Factor analysis assumes that covariation among time series can be explained by a few unobserved shocks (factors). The dependent variable in our estimations is growth in real GDP per capita in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms, while the explanatory variable of interest is the annual rate of change in the terms of trade.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; headline CPI inflation; terms-of-trade fluctuation; inflation forecast; inflation development; inflation process; inflation persistence; inflation variability; underlying inflation; Terms of trade; Inflation; Consumer price indexes; Price controls; Factor models; Central Asia; Eastern Europe; Europe; Asia and Pacific (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36
Date: 2006-08-25
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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