Portugal: Third Post-Program Discussions-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Portugal

International Monetary Fund

No 2016/097, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This report discusses key issues related to the economy of Portugal. Highly accommodative macroeconomic conditions have generated only modest growth in the presence of remaining structural impediments. In 2015, low interest rates, a weak euro, and low oil prices remained largely in place, allowing growth to reach 1.5 percent. The 2016 budget proposal appears insufficiently ambitious to put public debt on a firmly downward trajectory, with significant risks to execution. Bank balance sheets need to be strengthened to avoid further negative surprises and protect taxpayers. Envisaged labor and product market policies imply at least a partial reversal of structural measures introduced during the IMF-supported program.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; fiscal policy; EGF privatization process; growth; growth potential; profitability indicator; budget target; upfront cost; Credit; Loans; Labor force; Commercial banks; Global; Europe; Southern Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53
Date: 2016-04-01
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