United Kingdom: Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund

No 2024/204, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This Selected Issues paper analyses monetary policy issues in the UK. It examines key macro and financial indicators and assesses the effects of the tightening thus far. The paper finds that monetary transmission has largely mirrored previous episodes, with the most notable exception of the mortgage channel, which has been slower due to a higher share of fixed-rate mortgages. Additionally, it reveals an outsized impact of federal announcements on UK financial markets and argues that this will place a premium on Bank of England (BoE) communications in a context where the BoE may diverge. Monetary transmission in the UK during the current cycle has mostly worked as expected and has been similar to the experiences in other advanced economies. The paper identifies identify monetary policy surprises through changes in high-frequency market indicators within a narrow window around monetary policy announcement. The results indicate that Federal Open Market Committee spillovers do have a sizable effect on monetary transmission in the UK.

Keywords: UK construction; UK workforce; spending scenario; Fed Policy spillover; MPC decision; visa regime; Housing; Education spending; Inflation; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 76
Date: 2024-07-08
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