Republic of Serbia: 2025 Article IV Consultation, First Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument, and Request for Modification of Targets-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Serbia
International Monetary Fund
No 2025/176, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund
Abstract:
Serbia’s prudent macroeconomic policies and strong engagements with the IMF have delivered impressive results. Economic growth has been resilient, and fiscal and external buffers have strengthened. After successfully completing an IMF-supported Stand-By Arrangement (SBA), the authorities requested a 36-month, non-financing Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI)— approved in December 2024—to reinforce their commitment to sound policies, support structural reforms, and anchor fiscal discipline. Reflecting these achievements, Serbia received its first-ever investment grade sovereign rating last year. Inflation has gradually declined toward the National Bank of Serbia’s midpoint target, and unemployment has fallen to its lowest level in a decade. However, rising headwinds are weakening a cyclical upswing of the economy, and risks are to the downside with heightened domestic and global uncertainty.
Pages: 124
Date: 2025-07-10
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