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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2025/152: Monetary Policy Transmission to Lending Rates: Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Daniel Leigh and Rui Xu
2025/151: Sovereign Debt Auctions with Strategic Interactions Downloads
Ricardo Alves Monteiro and Stelios Fourakis
2025/150: Money Market Fund Growth During Hiking Cycles: A Global Analysis Downloads
Kleopatra Nikolaou
2025/149: Options for Strengthening Ireland’s Fiscal Framework Downloads
Rossen Rozenov, Waikei Lam, Yang Yang and Yinjie Yu
2025/148: Accounting and Fiscal Reporting in EU Countries Downloads
Sage De Clerck, Joseph Cavanagh and Mariano D'Amore
2025/147: Trade Partners’ Responses to US Tariffs Downloads
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
2025/146: Financial Imbalances, Systemic Stress, and Macroprudential Implications Downloads
Knarik Ayvazyan and Etienne Yehoue
2025/145: Oil Shocks and Labor Market Developments Downloads
Diego Gomes, Lisa Kolovich and Hannah Yi Wei
2025/144: Building Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Persistent Temperature Changes: The Case of Peru Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Daria Kolpakova
2025/143: Industrial Policies and Firm Performance: A Nuanced Relationship Downloads
Rafael Machado Parente, Sandra Baquie, Yueling Huang, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/142: The Impact of Debt and Deficits on Long-Term Interest Rates in the US Downloads
Davide Furceri, Carlos Goncalves and Hongchi Li
2025/141: Decrypting Crypto: How to Estimate International Stablecoin Flows Downloads
Marco Reuter
2025/140: Missing Imports in the Euro Area: Domestic Monetary Policy, Cross-Border Synchronization, and Demand Composition Downloads
Francesca Caselli and Allan Dizioli
2025/139: Navigating the Evolving Landscape of External Financing in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Adrian Alter, Khushboo Khandelwal, Thibault Lemaire, Hamza Mighri, Can Sever and Luc Tucker
2025/138: Global Commodity Inflation Pass-through: Vulnerability of Small Island Developing States Downloads
Laron Alleyne and Patrick Blagrave
2025/137: Understanding Inflation Dynamics in Afghanistan Downloads
Karim Badr
2025/136: Financial Boom and Bust in the 19th Century: How Bad Was Germany’s Gründerkrise? Downloads
Johannes Wiegand
2025/135: A Macroeconomic Framework for Long-Term Resilience and Growth Downloads
David Bartolini, Andrew Ceber, Valerie Cerra, Pedro Juarros, Yujin Kim, Junko Mochizuki and Christine Richmond
2025/134: Estimated Monthly National Accounts for the United States Downloads
Philip Barrett
2025/133: Global Financial Spillovers of Chinese Macroeconomic Surprises Downloads
Camila Gutierrez, Javier Turen and Alejandro Vicondoa
2025/132: Time-Varying Impacts of Government Spending on CO2 Emissions Downloads
Stefano Di Bucchianico, Mario di Serio, Matteo Fragetta and Giovanni Melina
2025/131: Strategies for Africa's Climate Resilience: Trade and Practices Downloads
Samantha Borkhoche, Eman Abdulla, Edward Gemayel, Vidhi Maheshwari and Faten Saliba
2025/130: The Drivers and Macroeconomic Impacts of Low-Carbon Innovation: A Cross-Country Exploration Downloads
Zeina Hasna, Henry Hatton, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim, Kamiar Mohaddes and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/129: Demystifying Trade Patterns In A Fragmenting World Downloads
Tatjana Schulze and Weining Xin
2025/128: What Are Empirical Monetary Policy Shocks? Estimating the Term Structure of Policy News Downloads
Jonathan Adams and Philip Barrett
2025/127: Repo Market Volatility and the U.S. Debt Ceiling Downloads
Mai Dao, Brandon Tan and Jing Zhou
2025/126: Integrating Fragmented Networks: The Value of Interoperability in Money and Payments Downloads
Alexander Copestake, Divya Kirti, Maria Martinez Peria and Yao Zeng
2025/125: The EU's CBAM: Implications for Member States and Trading Partners Downloads
Geoffroy Dolphin and Gianluigi Ferrucci
2025/124: Personal Insolvency and Data Collection Systems Downloads
José Garrido, Jason Kilborn and Anjum Rosha
2025/123: Real Equilibrium Interest Rates in the Euro Area Downloads
Robert Beyer and Luis Brandão-Marques
2025/122: How Do Remittances Affect the Real Exchange Rate? An Empirical Investigation Downloads
Alina Carare, Juan Celis, Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Yasumasa Morito
2025/121: A Quarterly Projection Model for Tonga Downloads
Sam Ouliaris, Celine Rochon and Daniel Taumoepeau
2025/120: Global Cross-Border Payments: A $1 Quadrillion Evolving Market? Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Melih Firat and Martina Hengge
2025/119: Testing the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in West and Central Africa Downloads
Abdoul Wane, Carlos de Resende and Jing Xie
2025/118: Should Tax Be King? The Debate over Tax Priority in Insolvency Downloads
Irving Aw, Brendan Crowley and José Garrido
2025/117: Forging Strength: Exploring the Dynamic Interplay between Institutions and State Capacity Downloads
Patrick Imam and João Tovar Jalles
2025/116: Growth, Interrupted: How Crises delay Global Convergence Downloads
Patrick Imam and Jonathan Temple
2025/115: Natural Bank Reliance Downloads
Hannah Winterberg
2025/114: Making the EU’s Multiannual Financial Framework Fit for Purpose Downloads
Matthias Busse, Huidan Lin, Malhar Nabar and Jiae Yoo
2025/113: Lifting Binding Constraints on Growth in Europe: Actionable Priorities to Deepen the Single Market Downloads
Nathaniel Arnold, Allan Dizioli, Alexandra Fotiou, Jan-Martin Frie, Burcu Hacibedel, Tara Iyer, Huidan Lin, Malhar Nabar, Hui Tong and Frederik Toscani
2025/112: What is Needed for Convergence? The Role of Capital and Finance Downloads
Bryan Hardy and Can Sever
2025/111: Growth Strategies and Diversification in the Pacific Islands Countries Downloads
Gabriela Cugat
2025/110: No Quick Fix: The Recovery and Resilience Plan and External Position in Greece Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Robert Blotevogel
2025/109: From Text to Quantified Insights: A Large-Scale LLM Analysis of Central Bank Communication Downloads
Thiago Silva, Kei Moriya and Romain Veyrune
2025/108: Cyclical Fiscal Multipliers: Policy Mix and Financial Friction Puzzle Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Hamed Ghiaie
2025/107: Interest Rate Sensitivity Scenarios to Guide Monetary Policy Downloads
Allan Dizioli
2025/106: Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? Downloads
Mame Astou Diouf, Boileau Loko and Rasmané Ouedraogo
2025/105: Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Domenico Giannone, Matteo Luciani and Mike West
2025/104: Europe’s National-Level Structural Reform Priorities Downloads
Nina Budina, Oyun Adilbish, Diego Cerdeiro, Romain Duval, Balázs Égert, Dmitriy Kovtun, Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen, Augustus Panton and Michelle Tejada
2025/103: Long and Short-term Impact of Tourism on Growth in Small Developing States Downloads
Daniel Cunha, Rodrigo Garcia-Verdu and Pedro Juca Maciel
2025/102: Supply Chain Diversification and Resilience Downloads
JaeBin Ahn and Brandon Tan
2025/101: Fiscal Multipliers in Mongolia Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2025/100: Labor Market Consequences of Homicides: Evidence from Mexico Downloads
Lorenzo Aldeco Leo, Matteo Ghilardi and Hugo Tuesta
2025/099: Laying the Ground for Scaling up Climate Finance in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Edward Gemayel, Samuele Rosa, Vidhi Maheshwari, Christoph Ungerer and Peter Lindner
2025/098: Do Industrial Policies Increase Trade Competitiveness? Downloads
Yueling Huang, Sandra Baquie, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim, Yucheng Lu, Rafael Machado Parente and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/097: Macro-Financial Policies and Vulnerabilities in IMF-Supported Programs Downloads
Yazan Al-Karablieh, José Marzluf, Hector Perez-Saiz, Azzam Santosa and Fabian Valencia
2025/096: From Banks to Nonbanks: Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Effects on Corporate Lending Downloads
Bruno Albuquerque, Eugenio Cerutti, Nanyu Chen and Melih Firat
2025/095: QPM-Based Analysis of Weather Shocks and Monetary Policy in Developing Countries Downloads
Valeriu Nalban and Luis-Felipe Zanna
2025/094: The Rise and Retreat of US Inflation: An Update Downloads
Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh and Prachi Mishra
2025/093: Nowcasting Global Trade from Space Downloads
Serkan Arslanalp, Seung Mo Choi, Parisa Kamali, Robin Koepke, Matthew McKetty, Michele Ruta, Mario Saraiva, Alessandra Sozzi and Jasper Verschuur
2025/092: Nowcasting Real GDP in Samoa Downloads
Geoffrey Heenan, Karras Lui, Ian Nield, Eucharist Muaulu, Viiaonaoperesi Reupena, Ivy Sabuga and Aiulu Tolovaa
2025/091: The Energy Origins of the Global Inflation Surge Downloads
Jorge Alvarez and Thomas Kroen
2025/090: Missing Home-Buyers and Rent Inflation: The Role of Interest Rates and Mortgage Underwriting Standards Downloads
Alessia De Stefani
2025/089: Leveraging Digital Technologies in Boosting Tax Collection Downloads
Manabu Nose, Nicola Pierri and Jiro Honda
2025/088: Testing the Liquidity Support Effects of the U.S. Treasury Buyback Program Downloads
Jing Zhou
2025/087: Preventing Fiscal Crises under Decentralization: Intergovernmental Policies and Institutions Downloads
Ryota Nakatani
2025/086: Debt-at-Risk Downloads
Davide Furceri, Domenico Giannone, Faizaan Kisat, Waikei Lam and Hongchi Li
2025/085: Using Simulations for Cyber Stress Testing Exercises Downloads
Tanai Khiaonarong, Kasperi Korpinen and Emran Islam
2025/084: Impact Dynamics of Natural Disasters and the Case of Pacific Island Countries Downloads
Choonsung Lim and Yue Zhou
2025/083: Fiscal Financing and Investment Irreversibility: The Role of Dividend Taxation Downloads
Matteo Ghilardi and Roy Zilberman
2025/082: Labor Market Matching Efficiency and Koreas Low Post-Pandemic Unemployment Downloads
Hua Chai
2025/081: Power Hungry: How AI Will Drive Energy Demand Downloads
Christian Bogmans, Patricia Gomez-Gonzalez, Ganchimeg Ganpurev, Giovanni Melina, Andrea Pescatori and Sneha Thube
2025/080: Shifting Advantages: Do Subsidies Shape Cross-Border Investment? Downloads
Michele Ruta and Monika Sztajerowska
2025/079: Inflation Targeting and the Legacy of High Inflation Downloads
Luis Jácome, Nicolas Magud, Samuel Pienknagura and Martin Uribe
2025/078: K Wasn’t Built in a Day Downloads
Adriano Fernandes and Rodolfo Rigato
2025/077: IMF-ENV: Integrating Climate, Energy, and Trade Policies in a General Equilibrium Framework Downloads
Jean Chateau, Hugo Rojas-Romagosa, Sneha Thube and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
2025/076: The Global Impact of AI: Mind the Gap Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Antonio Garcia Pascual, Yosuke Kido, Longji Li, Giovanni Melina, Marina Tavares and Philippe Wingender
2025/075: “Checking the Receipts” Audits of Emergency Finance: A preliminary analysis of the implementation of the Letter of Intent commitment on audits in 50 countries Downloads
Sebastiaan Pompe, Alice French, Martin Aldcroft and Camilla Fredriksen
2025/074: A New GCC Fiscal Era – A Look at the Macro and Firm-Level Impact of Tax Reforms Downloads
Anja Baum, Dorothy Nampewo and Greta Polo
2025/073: Do ESG Considerations Matter for Emerging Market Sovereign Spreads? Downloads
Carmen Avila-Yiptong, Mahamoud Islam, Ayah Said and Chima Simpson-Bell
2025/072: Firm Financing During Sudden Stops: Can Governments Substitute Markets? Downloads
Miguel Acosta-Henao, Andrés Fernández, Patricia Gomez-Gonzalez and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2025/071: Digital Financial Inclusion and Income Inequality in China Downloads
Yan Shen, Fei Han and Yanlong Li
2025/070: Europe’s Debt (Un)Sustainability: Looking Through Bohn’s Magnifying Glass Downloads
Ales Bulir and Khyati Chauhan
2025/069: Bidding Behavior in Italian Treasury Auctions: The Role of Top-ups Downloads
Daniela Marchettini
2025/068: AI Adoption and Inequality Downloads
Emma Rockall, Marina Tavares and Carlo Pizzinelli
2025/067: AI and Productivity in Europe Downloads
Florian Misch, Ben Park, Carlo Pizzinelli and Galen Sher
2025/066: Unconventional Monetary Policies in Small Open Economies Downloads
Jesper Lindé, Marcin Kolasa and Stefan Laseen
2025/065: Demand for Safe Assets and Spillovers from the Global Dollar Cycle Downloads
Cian Allen, Rudolfs Bems, Lukas Boer and Racha Moussa
2025/064: Micro-Evidence on the Consumption Impact of Income-Support Policies During COVID-19 Downloads
Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Emiliano Luttini and Luca Ricci
2025/063: The Impact of Labor Litigation Cases on Firm-level Productivity in Brazil Downloads
Swarnali Hannan and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/062: Credit Risk Where It’s Due: Carbon Pricing and Firm Defaults Downloads
Stefan Löschenbrand, Martin Maier, Laurent Millischer and Florian Resch
2025/061: Trade Reform in Services: Structural Change and Production Networks Downloads
Adam Jakubik and Wentao Zhou
2025/060: Privacy Technologies & The Digital Economy Downloads
Parma Bains and Tamas Gaidosch
2025/059: Fiscal Determinants of Domestic Sovereign Bond Yields in Emerging Market and Developing Economies Downloads
Manabu Nose and Jeta Menkulasi
2025/058: Monetary Shocks and Labor Markets: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Postings Downloads
Serhan Cevik, Alice Fan and Sadhna Naik
2025/057: Covered Interest Parity in Emerging Markets: Measurement and Drivers Downloads
Mai Dao and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
2025/056: Could Digital Currencies Lead to the Disappearance of Cash from the Market? Downloads
Marco Pani and Rodolfo Maino
2025/055: Lost Generations? Fertility and Economic Growth in Europe Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2025/054: The Insurer Channel of Monetary Policy Downloads
Divya Kirti and Akshat Singh
2025/053: Interactions Between Public and Private Sector Wages and Inflation in Mongolia Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
Page updated 2025-08-01
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