Working Papers

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2025.5: AI Diffusion, Disasters, Environmental and Social Change

Donatella Gatti and Julien Vauday

2025.4: Nonlinearities in the Inflation-Growth Relationship and the Role of Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Provinces

Linda Glawe, Jamel Saadaoui and Can Xu

2025.3: Impact of Political Polarization on Economic Conditions

William Ginn and Jamel Saadaoui

2025.2: Which Countries are “Particularly Vulnerable†to Climate Change? A New Climate Vulnerability Indicator

David Dosso

2025.1: How do microfinance and economic development mutually support each other? A Panel VAR approach in developing economies

Mehdi Mahmoudi and Nicolae-Bogdan Ianc

2024.17: Public Agricultural Expenditure Efficiency and Food Security in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Cash Crops or Food Crops?

Arrouna Keita

2024.16: The Impact of Environmental Litigations on Emissions

Enric Cervera and Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso

2024.15: Total factor productivity and tax avoidance: An asymmetric micro-data analysis for European oil and gas companies

Claudiu Albulescu

2024.14: Are Immigration Regularization Programs a Pull Factor? Evidence for OECD Countries

Paúl Elguezabal and Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso

2024.13: The Impact of Political Tensions and Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices in Unstable Environments

Jamel Saadaoui

2024.12: US Partisan Conflict, Sino-US Political Relation News, and Oil Market Dynamics

Yifei Cai, Jamel Saadaoui and Gazi Uddin

2024.11: Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Financial Leverage

William Ginn and Jamel Saadaoui

2024.10: Factors Influencing the Decline of Manufacturing Pollution in the European Union: A Study of Productivity, Environmental Regulations, Expenditure, and Trade Costs

Sahar Amidi and Rezgar Feizi

2024.9: What people believe about monetary finance and what we can(‘t) do about it: Evidence from a large-scale, multi-country survey experiment

Cars Hommes, Julien Pinter and Isabelle Salle

2024.8: Is growth at risk from natural disasters? Evidence from quantile local projections

Nabil Daher

2024.7: Unveiling the drivers of portfolio equity and bond investment in the European Union: The interplay of tax havens and gravity factors

Mariam Camarero, Alejandro Muñoz and Cecilio Tamarit

2024.6: Clustering the Impact: How Economic Realities and Political Institutions shaped COVID-19 Fiscal Responses in Africa

Samantha Joy Cinco

2024.5: UIP deviations in times of uncertainty: not all countries behave alike

Purva Gole, Erica Perego and Camelia Romocea Turcu

2024.04: Mapping energy poverty measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: A new global panel dataset

Juan Armando Torres Munguía, Marlies Hesselman, Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso and Ilse Ruyssen

2024.03: Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks: Some Nonlinear Evidence

William Ginn and Jamel Saadaoui

2024.02: From abnormal FDI to a normal driver of sudden stop episodes

Mária Širaňová, Menbere Workie Tiruneh and Brian Konig

2024.01: Laggards v Leaders: Productivity and Innovation Catchup

Peter Claeys, Juan Jung and Gonzalo Gómez-Bengoechea

2023.17: Sustainable development and the extractive industry. An assessment of the Mexican case

Sabine Bacouël-Jentjens, Grégory Levieuge, José Riascos and Camelia Romocea Turcu

2023.16: Natural resources and China’s foreign assistance in Africa: a two-sided story

West Togbetse and Camelia Romocea Turcu

2023.15: Chinese FDI in Africa, natural resources and the energy transition challenges

West Togbetse and Camelia Romocea Turcu

2023.14: Educational Mismatch and Labour Market Institutions: The Role of Gender

Theresa Geißler and Laszlo Goerke

2023.13: Debt Relief: The Day After, Financing Low-Income Countries

Grégory Donnat and Anna Tykhonenko

2023.12: Financial asymmetries, risk sharing and growth in the EU

Eleonora Cavallaro and Ilaria Villani

2023.11: Agglomeration and human capital: an extended spatial Mankiw-Romer-Weil model for European regions

Alicia Gómez-Tello, María-José Murgui-García and María-Teresa Sanchis-Llopis

2023.10: Fiscal multipliers, public debt anchor and government credibility in a behavioural macroeconomic model

Amelie Barbier-Gauchard, Thierry Betti and Theo Metz

2023.09: Accounting for cross-country output differences: A sectoral CES perspective

Jan Trenczek and Konstantin Wacker

2023.08: Do bankers want their umbrellas back when it rains? Evidence from typhoons in China

Pauline Avril, Grégory Levieuge and Camelia Romocea Turcu

2023.07: How political tensions and geopolitical risks impact oil prices?

Valérie Mignon and Jamel Saadaoui

2023.06: Drivers of cross-border bank claims: The role of foreign-owned banks in emerging countries

Sophie Brana, Dalila Chenaf-Nicet and Delphine Lahet

2023.05: Trilemma revisited with dollar dominance in trade and finance

Vanessa Olakemi Dovonou

2023.04: Revisiting the link between income inequality and emissions

Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso and Leon Pilgrim

2023.03: Uncertainty and the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the United States and Brasil: SVAR Approach

Eduardo de Sa Fortes Leitao Rodrigues

2023.02: Pandemics and economic turmoil in the shortrun: the role of fiscal space

Joao Jalles

2023.01: The impact of local and foreign automation on labor market outcomes in emerging countries

Luis R. Diaz Pavez and Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso

2022.11: Forecasting the Stability and Growth Pact compliance using Machine Learning

Kea Baret, Amelie Barbier-Gauchard and Theophilos Papadimitriou

2022.10: The effects of cross-border acquisitions on firms’ productivity in the EU

Wildmer Daniel Gregori, Maria Martinez Cillero and Michela Nardo

2022.09: Geopolitical risks and financial stress in emerging economies

Tam NguyenHuu and Deniz Karaman Örsal

2022.08: Which are the long-run determinants of US outward FDI? Evidence using large long-memory panels

Mariam Camarero, Sergi Moliner and Cecilio Tamarit

2022.07: Assessing Debt Stationarity and Sustainability in the Longer-Run with Fourier DF Unit Root Tests and Time-Varying Fiscal Reaction Functions

Jamel Saadaoui, Chi Keung Lau and Yifei Cai

2022.06: Forced migration and food crises

Federico Carril-Caccia, Jordi Paniagua and Marta Suárez-Varela

2022.05: The case of financial and banking integration of Central, Eastern and South Eastern European countries: a gravity model approach

Léonore Raguideau

2022.04: Macroprudential Policy and Aggregate Demand

Andre Teixeira and Zoe Venter

2022.03: Do Trade Agreements Contribute to Technology Internationalization?

Daniela Arregui Coka and Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso

2022.02: To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability

Antonio Afonso, José Alves and Joao Jalles

2022.01: Robustly optimal monetary policy in a behavioral environment

Lahcen Bounader and Guido Traficante