Adjusted Money's Worth Ratios in Life Annuities
Jaime Casassus () and
Eduardo Walker ()
No 434, Documentos de Trabajo from Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.
The Money's Worth Ratio (MWR) measures an annuity's actuarial fairness. It is calculated as the discounted present value of expected future payments divided by its cost. We argue that from the perspective of annuitants, this measure may overestimate the value-for-money obtained, since it does not adjust for liquidity or risk factors. Measuring these factors is challenging, requiring detailed knowledge of assets, liabilities, and of the stochastic processes followed by them. Using a multi-factor continuous-time model, we propose a simple solution for an adjusted MWR (AMWR), which does consider illiquidity and default risk. We implement this solution for the competitive Chilean annuity market, which offers MWRs above 1, finding that indeed these ratios are biased upward 7 percent on average. We also present estimates of default option values, asset insufficiency probabilities and implied credit spreads for each annuity provider.
Keywords: money's worth ratios; annuities; insurance companies; credit risk; liquidity premium; default probability; multi-factor continuous time models; emerging markets; Chile (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G22 G13 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ioe:doctra:434
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