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Current account balance cyclicality

Antonio Afonso and Jorge Silva ()

No 2016/20, Working Papers Department of Economics from ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa

Abstract: We assess the cyclicality of current account balances for the period 2001Q1-2014Q4, focussing on Portugal and in Germany, as a benchmark. We find that the cyclical component of the current account was positively explained by 3-months Euribor, but negatively by the financial crisis, systemic stress in Europe, employment and compensation of employees. Moreover, the non-cyclical current account was positively affected by the period of the Economic and Financial Adjustment Program and the terms of trade, but negatively influenced by financial integration. Key Words : current account cyclicality, financial markets, Portugal, Germany.

JEL-codes: C23 F32 G01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp and nep-eec
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Journal Article: Current account balance cyclicality (2017) Downloads
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More papers in Working Papers Department of Economics from ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Universidade de Lisboa, Rua do Quelhas 6, 1200-781 LISBON, PORTUGAL.
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