The Relationship between Fiscal and Current Account Imbalances in OECD Economies

Antonio Afonso and Philemon Opoku ()

No 2018/61, Working Papers REM from ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa

Abstract: This study re-examines the nexus between the fiscal balance and the current account balance for 18 OECD countries for the period 1995Q1 to 2018 Q1 using panel cointegration, and panel vector autoregressive (VAR) methods. Our results indicate that a strengthening in the fiscal balance by one percentage point of GDP leads to an improvement in the current account balance of about 0.1-0.3 percentage point of GDP. On the other hand, an increase in real government consumption generally leads to a deterioration in the current account balance. The impact of the real effective exchange rate is not statistically significant. The findings also confirm that there is a long-run relationship between the fiscal balance and the current account balance.

Keywords: Fiscal imbalances; Current account; Twin-deficit; Panel analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C40 E62 H62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-opm
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ise:remwps:wp0612018

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