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U.S. Money Demand Instability: A Flexible Least Squares Approach

Leigh Tesfatsion () and J. Veitch

Staff General Research Papers Archive from Iowa State University, Department of Economics

Abstract: This study uses the Flexible Least Squares method for Time-Varying Linear Regression (FLS-TVLR) to investigate coefficient stability for the Goldfeld U.S. money demand model over the volatile period 1959:Q2 to 1985:Q3. The only constraint imposed on coefficient variation over time is a smoothness prior. Nevertheless, the time paths traced out by the FLS-TVLR coefficient estimates exhibit systematic idiosyncratic time variations as well as simultaneous shift movements in 1974 during the time of the first oil price shock. Moreover, the FLS-TVLR estimates also indicate that the "unit root" nonstationarity problem reported by OLS money demand studies disappears if the coefficients are allowed to exhibit even small amounts of time variation. Annotated pointers to related work can be accessed here: http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/flshome.htm

JEL-codes: C1 C3 C5 E41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1990-02-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (22)

Published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, February 1990, vol. 14 no. 1, pp. 151-173

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Related works:
Journal Article: U.S. money demand instability A flexible least squares approach (1990) Downloads
Working Paper: U.S. MONEY DEMAND INSTABILITY: A FLEXIBLE LEAST SQUARES APPROACH (1988)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:isu:genres:11193

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