The scarring effects of youth joblessness in Sri Lanka
Peter Orazem () and
ISU General Staff Papers from Iowa State University, Department of Economics
Retrospective data on labor market spells for successive cohorts of youth in the schoolâ€ toâ€ work transition in Sri Lanka are used to examine whether early spells of joblessness lead to subsequent difficulty in finding or keeping a job. A balancing score approach is used to generate pairs of youth in the schoolâ€ toâ€ work transition who have similar expected levels of joblessness but who differ in realized levels of joblessness. Assuming that youth are not able to perfectly control whether they are employed or not employed, we argue that marginal differences in joblessness among otherwise observationally equivalent youth can be viewed similarly to a regression discontinuity in experienced joblessness. We find evidence of scarring in that spending the first year after leaving school without a job or training increases subsequent share of time spent jobless by 23â€“31 percentage points and lowers subsequent wages by 5.5%â€“7.5%.
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Journal Article: The scarring effects of youth joblessness in Sri Lanka (2020)
Working Paper: The Scarring Effects of Youth Joblessness in Sri Lanka (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:isu:genstf:202002010800001029
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