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TRANSITION PROBABILITIES TO EMPLOYMENT AND NON-PARTICIPATION

Pablo Antolin ()

Working Papers. Serie EC from Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie)

Abstract: The analysis of the probability of leaving the unemployment pool is cornrnonly done without distinguishing the exit state. Al1 the people who exit unemployment do not do so into employment, instead some become inactive. In this paper 1 then distinguish and examine the trasition probabilities from unemployment to employment and non-participation. 1 find that the factors that affect the transition probabilities to each state are not necesarily the same, and their effects are different in direction andlor magnitude. El análisis de la probabilidad de salir del desempleo se hace normalmente sin distinguir el estado al cual se va. Todos los individuos que dejan el desempleo no pasan a ser empleados, sino que algunos pasan a la inactividad. En este trabajo distingo y examino las probabilidades de transición del desempleo a el empleo y a la inactividad. Se encuentra que los factores que afectan a las probabilidades de transición a cada uno de los estados no son necesariamente los mismos, y los efectos van en diferente dirección y/o son de diferente magnitud.

Keywords: Análisis del desempleo; modelos de elección cualitativa. Unemployment analisis; qualitative choice models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 1995-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ivi:wpasec:1995-20

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