Who mobilises non-voters? Right-wing populism and unequal turnout

Armin Schäfer ()
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Armin Schäfer: Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Germany

No 2312, Working Papers from Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz

Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the election performance of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and voter turnout in the German federal elections. It analyses data from a variety of sources, including data from the 299 constituencies, data from 979 neighbourhoods in 30 cities, and two individual-level datasets, including panel data and the post-election cross-section of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES). The paper finds that the AfD was successful in mobilising former non-voters in the 2017 federal election, but there was no further mobilisation in the 2021 election. The conclusion is that populist parties are unlikely to succeed in increasing voter turnout in the long run.

Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2023-09-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-pol and nep-ure
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https://download.uni-mainz.de/RePEc/pdf/Discussion_Paper_2312.pdf First version, 2023 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jgu:wpaper:2312

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