Uncertain Risk and Return in Bond Markets, I

Chan Mang ()

2014 Papers from Job Market Papers

Abstract: I use the term structure model in Cochrane and Piazzesi (2008) and construct currency market prices. The implied currency market prices are counterfactually volatile and predictable, at least with respect to commonly used predictor variables. Getting the model closer to currency market data means reducing bond risk compensation but doing so nearly eliminates predictability in bond markets. One way to generate sensible time-variation in predictable bond and currency excess returns allows the volatility of returns to be time-varying. Additional avenues that can jointly account for the stochastic properties of bond and currency excess returns are also discussed.

JEL-codes: E43 E47 F31 F37 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-12-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ideas.repec.org/jmp/2014/pma1706.pdf

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jmp:jm2014:pma1706

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in 2014 Papers from Job Market Papers
Bibliographic data for series maintained by RePEc Team ().