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Asymmetric population aging, the international technology gap, and global growth

Ryoji Ohdoi

No 302, Discussion Paper Series from School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University

Abstract: This paper studies how cross-country asymmetries in population aging shape the international technology gap and global growth. I develop a two-country, two-sector overlapping-generations model with endogenous technological progress free from scale effects. The analysis shows that, in the long-run equilibrium, faster population aging is associated with lower relative technology through two mechanisms: reduced per capita labor supply and a reallocation of employment toward the non-tradable sector. Consequently, increasing labor-force participation alone does not necessarily prevent relative technological decline, as the sectoral-reallocation channel can remain operative even when aging does not reduce per capita labor supply. Numerical comparative statics confirm these mechanisms and reveal potentially non-monotonic effects on global growth under large demographic asymmetries.

Keywords: International asymmetries in population aging; Overlapping generations; Endogenous technological progress without scale effects; Non-tradable goods; Sectoral labor reallocation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F43 J11 O41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2025-12, Revised 2026-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-dge, nep-gro, nep-lab and nep-opm
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http://192.218.163.163/RePEc/pdf/kgdp302.pdf Revised version, 2026 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kgu:wpaper:302

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