Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers

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2402: Rate Cycles

Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha and M. Ayhan Kose

2401: The Great Reversal

Tommy Chrimes, Bram Gootjes, M. Ayhan Kose and Collette Wheeler

2310: What Explains Global Inflation

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday

2309: Funding Stability and the Pricing of Retail Rates: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector

Koray Alper and Tanju Capacioglu

2308: Economic Effects of R&D Supports

Huseyin Emre Sayici and Mehmet Ulu

2307: Contagion Effects of the Silicon Valley Bank Run

Dong Beom Choi, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Tanju Yorulmazer

2306: Current Account Balance and External Adjustment in Turkiye

Hakan Kara and Cagri Sarikaya

2305: Maternal Education and Early Child Development: The Roles of Parental Support for Learning, Learning Materials, and Father Characteristics

Yusuf Emre Akgunduz, Pelin Akyol, Abdurrahman Aydemir, Murat Demirci and Murat Kırdar

2304: Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch

Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2303: Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2302: Potential Growth: A Global Database

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and F. Ulrich Ruch

2301: Understanding the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices?

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday

2208: Child Growth and Refugee Status: Evidence from Syrian Migrants in Turkey

Murat Demirci, Andrew D. Foster and Murat Kırdar

2207: On the Past, Present, and Future of the Diebold-Yilmaz Approach to Dynamic Network Connectedness

Francis X. Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

2206: Is a Global Recession Imminent?

Justin-Damien Guenette, Ayhan Kose and Naotaka Sugawara

2205: Job Satisfaction, Structure of Working Environment and Firm Size

Aysıt Tansel

2204: Global Stagflation

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2203: Minimum Wage Increases and Vacancies

Marianna Kudlyak, Murat Tasci and Didem Tuzemen

2202: From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2201: Effects of Policy Reforms on Firm Innovation

Murat Seker and Mehmet Ulu

2124: The Labor Market Integration of Syrian Refugees in Turkey

Murat Demirci and Murat Kırdar

2123: Rising Political Populism and Outmigration of Youth as International Students

Murat Demirci

2122: What Types of Capital Flows Help Improve International Risk Sharing?

Ergys Islamaj and Ayhan Kose

2121: Enflasyon dinamiklerindeki değişim: Döviz kuru geçişkenliği güçleniyor mu?

Hakan Kara and Cagri Sarikaya

2120: Does Education Really Cause Domestic Violence? Revisiting the Turkish Data

Pelin Akyol and Murat Kırdar

2119: The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

2118: The Impact of Body Mass Index on Growth, Schooling, Productivity, and Savings: A Cross-Country Study

Aysıt Tansel, Ceyhan Öztürk and Erkan Erdil

2117: Post-Compulsory Schooling of Youth in Turkey during the Great Recession: A Case of Pro-cyclical Enrollment

Murat Demirci and Meltem Poyraz

2116: School Integration of Refugee Children: Evidence from the Largest Refugee Group in any Country

Murat Kırdar, Ismet Koç and Meltem Dayioglu

2115: Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles

Ceyhun Elgin, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu

2114: Understanding Informality

Ceyhun Elgin, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu

2113: The Effect of 3.6 Million Refugees on Crime

Murat Kırdar, Ivan Lopez Cruz and Betul Turkum

2112: How do exchange rates respond to political rhetoric by populist leaders?

Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp and Gokhan Sahin Gunes

2111: Transition to Democracy, Real Wages and Productivity: The Turkish Experience

Erol Taymaz, Ebru Voyvoda and Kamil Yilmaz

2110: Economic Value of Modeling the Joint Distribution of Returns and Volatility: Leverage Timing

Cem Çakmaklı and Verda Ozturk

2109: Migrant Networks and Destination Choice: Evidence from Moves across Turkish Provinces

Abdurrahman Aydemir and Erkan Duman

2108: Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2107: One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

2106: Keeping refugee children in school and out of work: Evidence from the world’s largest humanitarian cash transfer program

Aysun Aygun, Murat Kırdar, Murat Koyuncu and Quentin Stoeffler

2105: The Making of a Lost Generation: Child Labor among Syrian Refugees in Turkey

Meltem Dayioglu, Murat Kırdar and Ismet Koc

2104: The Economic Case for Global Vaccinations: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks

Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Sevcan Yesiltas and Muhammed A. Yildirim

2103: The Role of Obedience and the Rule of Law during the Pandemic

Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Sevcan Yesiltas and Muhammed Ali Yildirim

2102: Development Level of Hosting Areas and the Impact of Refugees on Natives’ Labor Market Outcomes

Dogu Tan Araci, Murat Demirci and Murat Kırdar

2101: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Bond Market Connectedness in the New Normal

Umut Akovali and Kamil Yilmaz

2019: Polarized Politics of Pandemic Response and the Covid-19 Connectedness Across the U.S. States

Umut Akovali and Kamil Yilmaz

2018: Female labor force participation in five selected MENA countries: An age-period-cohort analysis

Moundir Lassassi and Aysit Tansel

2017: Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?

Eda Gulsen and Hakan Kara

2016: Using Survey Information for Improving the Density Nowcasting of US GDP with a Focus on Predictive Performance during Covid-19 Pandemic

Cem Çakmaklı and Hamza Demircan

2015: A Dynamic Evaluation of Central Bank Credibility

Cem Çakmaklı and Selva Demiralp

2014: The Effect of Hosting 3.4 Million Refugees on the Health System in Turkey and Infant, Child, and Elderly Mortality among Natives

Aysun Aygun, Murat Kırdar and Berna Tuncay