Paying Students to Stay in School

Andrew McKendrick

No 352591296, Working Papers from Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department

Abstract: I examine the impact of the Education Maintenance Allowance, a conditional cash transfer in England that was available nationally from 2004 to 2011, on a range of short- and long-term outcomes. Average treatment effects are identified, assuming unconfoundedness, using Inverse Probability Weighting Regression Adjustment. Treatment effect heterogeneity is examined using Causal Forests, a new machine learning approach. I find beneficial impacts of EMA on retention, university attendance and, for the first time, insecure work, as measured by the probability of being on a “zero hours†contract. Other outcomes (educational attainment, risky behaviours, and labour market outcomes) are found not to be impacted.

Keywords: Education Maintenance Allowance; Causal Forest; Heterogeneity; Labour Market Outcomes; Job Security; Risky Behaviours (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H52 I12 I28 J22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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