THE EXPANSIONARY EFFECTS OF HOUSING CREDIT SUPPLY SHOCKS
Mirela Sorina Miescu,
Giorgio Motta,
Dario Pontiggia and
Raffaele Rossi
No 399832231, Working Papers from Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department
Abstract:
This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of exogenous changes in housing credit supply. We identify the credit supply shock with a narrative dataset within a Factor-Augmented VAR. We find that a housing credit supply shock is expansionary in the housing sector, the financial markets as well as on main macroeconomic indicators. A one percent increase in the housing credit supply expands Industrial Production up to 1.4 percent and reduces the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points.We show that controlling for missing information and anticipation effects is crucial for evaluating the transmission mechanism of housing credit supply shocks on the macroeconomy.
Keywords: Credit Supply Shocks; Mortgage Markets; Factor Augmented VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lan:wpaper:399832231
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