Introducing spatial heterogeneity in forest sector modelling: insights from the French forest Sector Model

Antonello Lobianco, Philippe Delacote, Sylvain Caurla and Ahmed Barkaoui ()

No 2014-04, Working Papers - Cahiers du LEF from Laboratoire d'Economie Forestiere, AgroParisTech-INRA

Abstract: Given the importance of anthropogenic determinants in forest ecosystems within Europe, the objective of FFSM++ is to link the evidence arising from biological models with socioeconomic determinants, where the expected returns of forest investments represent the main drivers. An inventory-based forest dynamic model is hence coupled with a market module and a management one in a national level forest sector model for France (FFSM++). In this paper we show that only considering the environment heterogeneity, and hence considering the local characteristics of the forest under management, we can realistically model the micro-based management module. In particular, an application is proposed that spatialises the forest growth rate and long-term scenarios (until 2100) are run to examine the effects on the forest dynamic, and notably the interaction with forest management strategies, of a potential increase of coniferous mortality in certain areas due to climate change.

Keywords: Forest sector modelling; Spatial model; Bio-economic model; Forest mortality. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 L52 Q23 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2014-04, Revised 2014-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cmp and nep-env
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http://www6.nancy.inra.fr/lef/Cahiers-du-LEF/2014/2014-04 First version, 2010

Related works:
Working Paper: Introducing spatial heterogeneity in forest sector modelling: insights from the French forest Sector Model (2014)
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