An Ex-Ante Assessment of the Proposal to Reform the Second Pillar of the Lithuanian Pension System

Karolis Bielskis, Federica Brenna, Jose Garcia-Louzao, Stefan Girstmair and Anup Mulay
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Karolis Bielskis: Bank of Lithuania
Anup Mulay: Bank of Lithuania

No 57, Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series from Bank of Lithuania

Abstract: This document offers an ex-ante assessment of the proposal to allow the withdrawal of funds from the second pillar of the Lithuanian pension system. First, we use a quantitative macroeconomic model to quantify, under alternative scenarios, the potential impact that the withdrawal of Pillar II funds might have on the economy in the medium term. Second, we offer a long-term view of the current pension replacement rates and the consequences that the withdrawal of funds might have for those individuals who decide to opt-out of Pillar II.

Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2025-04-14
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