BI Board of Governor's Meeting, September 2017
Febrio Kacaribu (),
Alvin Ulido Lumbanraja () and
Nadia Khairani ()
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Febrio Kacaribu: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Alvin Ulido Lumbanraja: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Nadia Khairani: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
No 201709, LPEM FEBUI BI Board of Governor Meeting Brief from LPEM, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia
Abstract:
After cutting interest rate last month, in line with our assessment of ideal policy rate, Bank Indonesia would best achieve its overall objective by adopting more cautious stance pending more economic data of Q3. From domestic side, slight uptick in credit growth in July and too low core inflation give conflicting signal about the pace of economic activity. From external side, there are also conflicting signals about market direction due to major central banks’ intention to normalize monetary policy, geopolitical risk in North Korea, and combination of Hurricane Harvey, Irma, and Jose. We expect no policy rate change in the US until maybe December. This allows Bank Indonesia to swiftly respond to changes in economic data or new developments in coming months.
Keywords: gdp; —; economic; —; economic; outlook; —; inflation; —; macroeconomics; —; interest; rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-09, Revised 2017-09
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https://lpem.org/repec/lpe/queouts/BBG201709.pdf First version, 2017 (application/pdf)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lpe:gomeet:201709
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