BI Board of Governor's Meeting, July 2022

Jahen Rezki, Syahda Sabrina (), Nauli A. Desdiani (), Teuku Riefky, Amalia Cesarina, Meila Husna () and Faradina Alifia Maizar ()
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Syahda Sabrina: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Nauli A. Desdiani: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Meila Husna: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Faradina Alifia Maizar: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)

No 202207, LPEM FEBUI BI Board of Governor Meeting Brief from LPEM, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia

Abstract: Despite exceeding past BI's target, the surge in prices in June 2022 is mainly cost-push, primarily driven by price of volatile commodities. On the other hand, core inflation stood at a rather safe rate under the BI's target. Looking at the macroeconomic indicators, economic recovery appeared to be on track, indicated by the level of CCI, which was still reported in optimistic territory. The windfall from higher commodity prices also benefited trade performance, reflected by an immense surplus. The enduring risks from the external sector, however, continued to cast a shadow over the domestic market condition. A continuing strong performance of USD also added fuel to the heat of external pressure. The result was then quite obvious as evidenced by a substantial outflow and the depreciation of Rupiah. However, BI should not be in a rush to tighten its stance as it may delay economic growth. Therefore, we see that BI should continue to maintain its policy rate at 3.50% while closely observing the external dynamics.

Keywords: gdp; —; economic; —; economic; outlook; —; inflation; —; macroeconomics; —; interest; rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-07, Revised 2022-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-des and nep-sea
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https://lpem.org/repec/lpe/queouts/BBG202207.pdf First version, 2022 (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: BI Board of Governor's Meeting, June 2022 (2022)
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